CSPA Ethiopia 2023

CSPA Ethiopia 2023

How does climate exacerbate root causes of conflict in Ethiopia?

Climate Security Pathway Analysis

Niklas Sax, Gamal Mohamed Hassan, Abdimajid Nunow Abdi, Tanía Ferrè Garcia, Ignacio Madurga-Lopez, Bia Carneiro, Theresa Liebig, Peter Läderach and Grazia Pacillo
This factsheet gives answers on how climate exacerbates root causes of conflict in Ethiopia, using a climate security pathway analysis. Two main pathways are identified:

1. Livelihood and Food Insecurity: The majority of Ethiopia’s land is vulnerable to climate extremes, which affect the availability of food. Local hotspots of food insecurity in the Tigray, Somali and Afar regions correlate with a higher occurrence of conflict, making them prone to climate security risks. Vulnerability to climate and conflict also differs along gender and age lines, while pastoralist livelihoods are particularly affected by the compounded pressure of climate effects and political marginalization. Natural disasters and biophysical changes have led to the displacement of people, adding to the large number of internally displaced people due to conflict, which are leading to further tensions with host communities in the areas of refuge.

Previous PB Policy Coherence and Awareness Analysis

Contact Us

Phone Number:
(+252) 617 963 284
icaep@igad.int
Location:
KM5, Afgoye Road, Mogadishu, Somalia

Sat – Thurs: 8:00 am – 5:00 pm

News & Updates

Signup to receive the latest  IGAD CAEP news, articles, and resources, sent straight to your inbox every month.

Connect With Us

Contact Us

Phone Number:
(+252) 617 963 284
icaep@igad.int
Location:
KM5, Afgoye Road, Mogadishu, Somalia

Sat – Thurs: 8:00 am – 5:00 pm

News & Updates

Signup to receive the latest  IGAD CAEP news, articles, and resources, sent straight to your inbox every month.

Connect With Us

© 2026 IGAD Centre of Excellence for Climate Change Adaptation and Environmental Protection | All Rights Reserved.